Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
ILLUSTRATIVE COUNTER CONSTRUCT
■
Increase AMGP for AM exchange ratio from
1.6x to 1.7x
Add a cash component of $750 mm, or
approximately $4.00 per AM unit
Reduce Series B exchange from 18.5 mm shares
to 10 mm shares
Mandate no distribution cut to AM unitholders
(achieved in 2019 via a modest adjustment to the
distribution coverage ratio)
Implied Premium to AM Price
AMGP Unit Price
x Share Exchange Ratio
= Takeout Price (pre-cash)
+ Cash Component / Unit
= Total Takeout Price
Current AM Price
Implied Premium
Source: Antero management projections.
Note: Represents closing prices as of June 28, 2018.
$18.61
1.700x
$31.64
4.00
$35.64
29.73
19.9%
$5.00
$4.00
$3.00
$2.00
$1.00
$0.00
Distribution Forecast to AM Unitholders
$3.00
$2.00
$1.00
$0.00
$1,500
$1,000
Distribution Forecast to AMGP Unitholders
$500
7
$0
Standalone Pro Forma
Note, coverage ratio decreases from 1.31x to 1.25x
$3.42 $3.56
$2.21 $2.21
2019E
$0.89
$219
$2.85 $2.87
2020E
$1.30 $1.34
2019E
2020E
Total Cash to AR from Midstream Holdings
$2,000
$615
2019E
Treliminary Draft
M
Standalone
$282 $284
2020E
$1.69 $1.74
2021E
$338 $352
$2.09
2021E
2021E
Pro Forma
$4.10
$2.22
$405 $432 I
BAIRD
$4.37
2022E
$2.57
2022E
$1,6831
$1,244
2022E I Total
Project Bronco | Page 22View entire presentation