Kinnevik Results Presentation Deck
Intro
Net Asset Value
SOFTWARE
Our Software businesses are benchmarked against three sets of peers.
First, high-growth SaaS companies whose growth profile comes closest
to resembling those of our investees. Constituents can differ over time
but typically include companies such as Snowflake (SNOW), CrowdStrike
(CS), SentinelOne (S), and Datadog (DDOG). Second, companies with a
high share of revenue from transactional or usage-based activities rather
than strictly recurring streams - and therefore with gross margins similar to
many of our investees. These include Shopify (SHOP), Bill.com (BILL), and
Twilio (TWLO). Finally, we consider vertical-specific peers. These include
Veeva (VEEV) and Doximity (DOCS) for Cedar, and Toast (TOST) for Mews.
Growth remains a key driver of multiple levels, and our businesses are
valued at or below what is suggested by the correlation between growth
and multiples in the public market SaaS universe. Our assessed valuation
multiples are also adjusted in consideration of differences in current and
expected future gross margins (and thereby also long-term profitability
potential), financial strength (length of runway), and the percentage
share of recurring revenues (versus more transaction-based revenue).
At the end of 2022, Cedar was engaging with 22 million patients
on an annualized basis, representing a 120 percent increase since the
beginning of 2021. In the quarter, we have contracted our multiple more
drastically than the peer group to better reflect differences in gross
margin profile vis-à-vis the peer set. This contraction is almost offset by
continued strong financial performance.
Pleo doubled its revenues in 2022, and has recalibrated its organization
to improve profitability and prolong cash runway. 2023 has started strong,
with above-plan growth in recurring subscription revenues and a stabilizing
client spend after a tumultuous decline in 2022. Our revenue multiple
is unchanged in the quarter despite peers trading up by 20 percent.
TravelPerk benefits from an ongoing recovery in corporate travel
spend and favourable comparables in early 2022 that remained impac-
ted by the pandemic. As a result, the company is growing revenue at a
significantly higher pace than its public benchmarks. Our valuation is
largely unchanged in the quarter due primarily to indications from an
extension of the company's most recent funding round at a level in line
with our valuation. Our valuation multiples contract by 10 percent in spite
of peers trading up by 20 percent.
KINNEVIK
Interim Report Q2 2023
Portfolio Overview
Software
Revenue Growth (2022)
Gross Margin (2022)
EV/NTM R
EV/NTM R (Q/Q Change)
Equity Value (Q/Q Change)
Note:
20x
15x
10x
Sustainability
5x
Our
Investees
145%
56%
12.7x
EV/NTM Revenue and Revenue Growth
Key Public Benchmarks as at Quarter-End
(3)%
+1%
Peer
Average
10%
27%
73%
6.6x
+6%
+5%
Peer Top
Quartile
"Peer Top Quartile" data points are the average metrics of the top quartile peers in terms of revenue multiple
34%
78%
11.5x
+15%
+20%
SaaS Universe
Financial Statements
20%
27%
+4%
Healthcare Technology
Other
Unlisted Portfolio Weight
Fair Value Change (Q/Q)
30%
40%
34View entire presentation