Vale Investor Day Presentation Deck
76
5
Discipline in capital allocation | Re-rating
... which should remain our focus as we resume capacity
and manage cash use
EBITDA 2023 - Sensitive analysis
(US$ billion)
Iron ore price (US$/t)
mid-point based on analysts' forecast
80
90
100
Iron ore sales volumes (Mt)
340
~16.5
~19.5
~23.0
350
~17.0
~20.0
~23.5
360
~17.5
~20.5
~24.0
Cash Flow Drivers
EBITDA
CAPEX
US$ 5.8 bn (2022)
US$ 5.0-6.0bn (avg. next years)
Transitory expenditures
Brumadinho
Dam
de-characterization
Renova
Capacity resumption to drive
volume growth
Controlled sustaining capex
Accretive growth opportunities
Substantial progress on
reparation process
Increased knowledge with
diluted annual payments
Indemnifications accelerating
and skewed towards short term
Note: Volumes and price ranges for sensitivity purpose only and do not constitute any guidance by Vale. Average BRL/USD exchange rate in 2023 of 5.00, average copper price (LME) of US$ 10,000/t and average
nickel price (LME) of US$ 17,500/t.
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