Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
1 KEY E&P INVESTMENT THEMES
▪ Persistent negative sentiment toward natural gas:
SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS
AR's position relative to key investment themes in the E&P sector have led to its underperformance
■
L
I
Investor emphasis on growth with capital discipline:
Focus on spending within operating cash flow
Reduction of debt and prudent leverage metrics
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Natural gas supply/demand fundamentals and associated
strip prices remain weak
■ Efficiency and productivity gains:
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Focus on drilling efficiencies, longer laterals, higher margins
2 ANTERO SPECIFIC THEMES
Perception of a conflict of interest between AR/AMGP/AM and
management's respective ownership positions
Confidential
Investor frustration with consolidated financial reporting
BAIRD
ANTERO POSITION
* Antero is a single-basin, natural gas and NGLS focused-producer
* Natural gas weighted companies have underperformed the
majority of the broader E&P sector since 2014
* AR's Firm Transportation commitments are increasingly viewed as a
"liability" because they mandate substantial drilling activity and
production growth
Cumulative cash flow outspend since 2014 of $3.0 bn
Leverage levels of nearly 4.0x leading into the broader
downturn in the sector
AR is a market leader in drilling efficiencies and maximizing the
return profile of its development program
COMMENTARY
* AMGP generated substantial cash flow and equity value as a
result of AR's prolific drilling activity
* Midstream fees reduce AR'S ROCE
* Consolidated AR and AM financials make it difficult for
investors to truly isolate AR's value
Project Bronco
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