Maersk Investor Presentation Deck slide image

Maersk Investor Presentation Deck

Guidance Full-year guidance for 2021 Given the current outlook and high degree of uncertainty related to the continued impact from COVID-19 on the economic growth and global demand patterns, A.P. Moller-Maersk expects for the full-year 2021: Underlying EBITDA in the range of USD 8.5-10.5bn compared to USD 8.3bn in 2020 Underlying EBIT in the range of USD 4.3-6.3bn compared to USD 4.2bn in 2020 Free cash flow (FCF) above USD 3.5bn compared to USD 4.6bn in 2020 As part of the full-year guidance for 2021 A.P. Moller - Maersk expects the current exceptional situation with the demand surge leading to bottlenecks in the supply chain and equipment shortage, which contributed approximately USD 1.5bn to EBIT in 2020, to continue in Q1 and normalise thereafter. Consequently, A.P. Moller - Maersk expects profitability in the first quarter 2021 to be above Q4 2020. Ocean is expected to grow in line with the global container demand at an expected 3-5% in 2021, with the highest growth seen in the first half-year. For the years 2021-2022 the accumulated CAPEX is still expected to be USD 4.5-5.5bn. Underlying EBITDA: Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation adjusted for restructuring and integration costs Underlying EBIT: Operating profit before interest and taxes adjusted for restructuring and integration costs, net gains/losses from sale of non-current assets and net impairments 23 Annual Report 2020 Sensitivity guidance A.P. Moller - Maersk's financial performance for the full-year 2021 depends on several factors and is subject to uncertainties related to COVID-19, bunker fuel prices and freight rates given the uncertain macroeconomic conditions. All else being equal, the sensitivities for the full-year 2021 for four key assumptions are listed in the table below: Factors Container freight rate Container freight volume Bunker price (net of expected BAF coverage) Rate of exchange (net of hedges) Change +/- 100 USD/FFE +/- 100,000 FFE +/- 100 USD/tonne +/- 10% change in USD Effect on EBIT (Full-year 2021) +/- USD 1.3bn +/- USD 0.1bn -/+ USD 0.4bn +/- USD 0.2bn MAERSK
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