Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
ILLUSTRATIVE HAS / GETS ANALYSIS (CONT.)
Dividend Yield
Static
Multiple
Case
Trading
Multiple
Expansion
Cases
Status Quo AM Distribution / LP Unit (AM Management Case)
Estimated Distribution Yield
Implied Status Quo AM Common Unit Price
Pro Forma AMGP Corp DCF/Share
Estimated Dividend Yield
Implied Pro Forma AMGP Corp Common Share Price
Proposed Equity Exchange Ratio
Implied PF AMGP Corp Common Share Price per AM Common Unit
Add: Cash Consideration per AR-Owned AM Unit
All-in Value per AR-Owned AM Unit
% Value Uplift / (Dedine)
Midpoint of Current AM & C-Corp Comps
C-Corp Peer Median
Price /
DCF per LP
6.5%
5.5%
2019E
$2.21
7.5%
$29.43
$1.25
7.5%
$16.58
1.6023x
$26.57
$3.00
$29.57
0%
2019E
14%
33%
Trellminara Graft
2020E
$2.85
7.5%
$37.95
$1.61
7.5%
$21.39
1.6023x
$34.27
$3.00
$37.27
(2%)
2020E
12%
31%
2021E
Value Uplift
Source: Antero management projections and S&P Capital IQ. As of October 5, 2018.
(1) AM status quo 2019E distribution yield per Wall Street consensus estimates.
Midpoint of (1) AM status quo 2019E distribution yield and (2) median 2019E dividend yield for midstream C-corp peers (OKE, TRGP, WMB): per Wall Street consensus estimates.
Median 2019E dividend yield for midstream C-corp peers (OKE, TRGP, WMB); per Wall Street consensus estimates.
$3.42
7.5%
$45.54
$1.93
7.5%
$25.67
1.6023x
$41.13
$3.00
$44.13
(3%)
2021E
11%
30%
*****
BAIRD
2022E
Project Bronco
$4.10
7.5%
$54.59
$2.31
7.5%
$30.80
1.6023x
$49.36
$3.00
$52.36
(4%)
2022E
10%
29%
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