Investor Presentaiton
Inflation remains elevated, reflecting mostly global commodity price
pressures
Monetary policy tightened further to curb inflation expectations
16%
Annual CPI inflation
Monetary policy rate
16%
Annual
14%
5-yr. avg.
Feb-22
Mar-22
14%
Headline CPI
6.1%
13.7%
11.8%
Core CPI
4.3%
5.1%
5.3%
12%
12%
10%
8%
6%
0%
olo olo old glo ov
4%
-2%
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Source: GeoStat, NBG
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Jun-16
Sep-16
Dec-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Sep-17
Dec-17
Mar-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
Dec-19
Mar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Mar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
Mar-22
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
Annual CPI inflation in Georgia was 11.8% in March
2022, with a 2.5% increase in the price level month-
on-month
Currently, inflation is mainly driven by commodity
price rally coupled with a pass-through effect of GEL
depreciation in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine war
To curb inflation expectations, the NBG increased the
refinancing rate further by 0.5 ppt to 11.0% in March
2022
Given the tight monetary policy and transitory nature
of current price pressures, inflation is expected to
decelerate gradually throughout 2022, but likely to
remain above target, at around 9.0%, on average
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