Investor Presentaiton
Sheep and Wool
National Sheep flock
Million heads
Shorn wool production
Thousand tonnes greasy
NTLI and EMI
+1%
Ac/kg cwt & Ac/kg clean
+3.2%
74
72-
+3%
350 1
650
1,800
1,600
70-
600
+4.3%
300
68
66
64
62
250
450
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018f 2019f
2014 2015 2016
2017
2018f 2019f
1,400
550
1,200
500
1,000
800
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018f 2019f 2020F
"
Lambs (LHS)
Wool (RHS)
The national flock is expected to increase by 3%
in 2018-19 to 72m, representing a third
continuous year of expansion. Most of the
increase in the Australian flock is expected to be
in sheep meat breeds.
High lamb prices and assumed average seasonal
conditions will provide producers with an
opportunity to increase flock numbers.
Wool production is forecast to grow slowly, on
the back of increased segmentation of the
industry. In 2018-19 shorn wool production is
forecast to be 350,000 tonnes, a 1% increase
from 2017-18.
ā
ā
Sheep and lamb prices are forecast to
increase by a further 3.2% in 2018-19. This
reflects strong competition at saleyards
from restockers and processors, driven by
strong demand in major export markets,
particularly China.
The EMI is forecast to increase by another
4.3% to $1,700 in 2018-19. This has been
driven by global consumer demand for
woollen apparel.
Source: ABARES Agricultural Commodities Outlook, March 2018
Elders
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