Solid Position Across Key Areas
2
Macroeconomic outlook for Uzbekistan
IPOTEKA BANK
SNAPSHOT OF UZBEKISTAN
REAL GDP GROWTH Y.O.Y (%)
2019
2020
2021 (f-cast)
5,4%
5,6%
5,0%
5,5%
Population
33.3m
34.6m
35.0m
4,5%
UZS 511.8tn/
GDP
USD 57.9bn
UZS 580.2tn/
USD 55.2bn
UZS 608.0tn/
USD 57.8bn
1,6%
GDP Growth
5.6%
1.6%
4.8%
Unemployment
5.9%
10.5%
12.0%
2017
*IMF projections as of Oct-2020
2018
2019
2020
2021*
2025*
Debt as % of GDP
32.8%
40.4%
42.0%
UZBEKISTAN'S GDP STRUCTURE (2020)
ANTI-COVID AND OTHER MEASURES & UPDATES
Apr – Nov 19, 2020:
•
Commercial loan repayment deferrals til 1-Oct-2020.
No tax on accrued & deferred loans & waiver of penalties.
Cut in CBU main rate from 16% to 15% and then to 14%.
.
Add'l UZS2.6tn liquidity thru easing mandatory reserves.
.
CBU's special non-recallable credit line
Nov - Apr 2021:
✓ Receipt of CBU's special non-recallable credit line (+640 bn)
✓ Subordinated debt issue was resolved (+240 bn)
✓ Cancellation of CBU's acceptable interest rates (+)
✓ Further FX market liberalization in Feb 2021 (+)
✓ Changes on capital adequacy calculation (-)
✓ Continued of the ban on dividend payments (+220 bn)
7%
8%
33%
26%
26%
■Services
Industry
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
■Net taxes on products
■Construction
PRESENCE OF GOLD IN THE COUNTRY
1 Year Gold Price in USD/oz
Last Close: 1848.64
Export composition of Uzbekistan
High: 2070.05 Low: 1477.30 278.84 17.76%
2100
2050
2000
13,2%
1950
1900
38,4%
1850
1800
1750
1700
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1650
48,4%
1600
1550
1500
■Gold
■Goods
■Services
145 Feb 20 Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
goldprice.org
Jan 21
Sunday, January 31, 2021.
as of 31-Dec-2020
Sources: The State Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan on StatisticsView entire presentation