Real Estate Investment Strategies
Outstanding debt to European CRE
European CRE experiencing structural dislocation
Non-core exposure ((€bn)
300
250
200
150
100
50
European Bank Exposure to Non-Core Real Estate
Gross
Net
Total Gross: €531bn
Total Net: €333bn
0
AMA
Deleveraging plan/
Other
Internal non-core units
Traditional credit sources constrained
100%
75%
50%
25%
Capital value (€/sqm)
28000
24000
20000
16000
12000
8000
4000
0
Dislocation between Primary and Secondary Markets
(Office sector)
H
Paris
London-City
Lack of new supply
110
Milan
Frankfurt
- Historic High
Madrid
Barcelona
Copenhagen
I ± ±
Brussels
Dublin
Lisbon
Historic Low
Q3 2016
Prague
Warsaw
Budapest
2006 = 100
105
100
95
90
90
85
0%
'04 '05
Banks
'06 '07 '08
Bad Banks
'09 '10 '11 '12
Non-Banks
'13
'14
Bonds
CMBS
60
80
'06
'07 '08 '09
Housebuilding
'10 '11 '12
Non-residential
'13 '14 '15
Total construction
As of 30 September 2016. SOURCE: C&W Corporate Finance (top left), CBRE ERIX (top right), DTZ Research (bottom left), FIEC (European Construction Industry Federation) (bottom right).
AMA: Asset Management Agencies
Refer to Appendix for additional outlook and risk information.
PIMCO
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