Investor Presentaiton
EMIRATES NBD
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
STRATEGY 2022
ANNUAL REPORT 2021
The global economy has on some measures recovered
from 2020's pandemic-related recession. The
International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates world GDP
growth at 5.9% in 2021, up from a contraction of 3.1% in
2020. However, the recovery has been uneven, with
advanced economies and those with greater coronavirus
vaccine coverage proving more resilient than low-income
developing countries. The headline global growth figure
also masks the impact of several waves of coronavirus
which have buffeted the world and contributed to an
increased level of uncertainty for policymakers,
businesses and consumers. This remains the case as we
look ahead to 2022, with the Omicron variant expected
to weigh on economic growth in the first quarter.
The speed and efficiency with which the UAE rolled out
coronavirus vaccines in 2021 enabled the country to
avoid further lockdowns and put the economy in a
strong position to benefit from the global rebound in
activity in 2021. Emirates NBD Research estimates the
UAE's non-oil sector grew 3.5% in 2021, underpinned by
recovering domestic demand, along with a surge in
global trade volumes and a modest rebound in
international tourism.
Oil prices recovered sharply in 2021, rising more than
60% on average compared with 2020, boosting sentiment
and allowing GCC governments to narrow their 2020
budget deficits significantly. Emirates NBD Research
expects the UAE to record a budget surplus for 2021, and
with oil prices likely to remain elevated in 2022, there is
fiscal space for increased public sector investment in
strategic growth sectors. With OPEC+ expected to
continue to increase oil production in the coming
months, the hydrocarbon sector is expected to contribute
positively to UAE GDP growth in 2022 for the first time in
three years.
For the rest of the world however, higher oil prices have
been a key driver of inflation, along with supply chain
disruptions as a result of the pandemic. Consumer
inflation in the United States and Europe has accelerated
by more than policy makers had expected and is likely to
remain higher for longer than previously envisaged. As
a result, the Federal Reserve is expected to cease its
asset purchases by the end of February and start raising
interest rates in March. Other major central banks are
also expected to tighten monetary policy this year, but at
a slower pace, which is likely to be reflected in a stronger
US dollar.
Inflation has also been a key theme in Turkey, where
easing monetary policy, a depreciation in the exchange
rate and strong domestic demand all combining to push
inflation higher. GDP growth has rebounded strongly
from the pandemic and is estimated to have exceeded
10% in 2021.
Emirates NBD Research expects non-oil sector growth in
the UAE to accelerate to 4% in 2022, even as global
growth slows somewhat. Higher interest rates and a
stronger dollar could prove headwinds to growth in the
UAE in 2022, but the structural reforms implemented
over the last couple of years will help boost investment
and drive growth over the medium term. These reforms
include the expansion of longer-term residency visas to
broader categories of residents and new pathways to
citizenship, wide-ranging changes to personal and labour
laws, allowing 100% foreign ownership of onshore
companies and most recently, the decision to align the
UAE's working week with that of larger developed
economies. These measures will serve to reduce barriers
to investment and attract both human and financial
capital to the UAE over the coming years.
Driven by the robust stabilisation and recovery witnessed
in 2021 after a challenging 2020, Emirates NBD is now
strongly positioned to capitalise on key opportunities
across its network, whilst consistently delivering an
excellent customer experience, spearheading digital
innovation, and continuing to meet compliance and
regulatory standards. In 2022, Emirates NBD will
continue to focus on the following core pillars:
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Deliver an excellent customer experience
Drive core business
Focus on future potential
Drive international diversification
Build market leading infrastructure
Develop a dynamic organisation
Deliver an excellent customer experience
In line with our vision to be the most innovative bank for
our customers, people and communities, we have
embarked on an exciting transformation journey aimed
at harnessing the power of advanced analytics and
incorporating it into the Group's DNA. This will allow us
to develop deeper understanding of our customers and
offer them the personalised experiences they need to
prosper.
The Group will continue to focus on developing and
launching innovative offerings through new generation
platforms, and reinvent customer journeys with a focus
on straight-through processing as we consistently
leverage network benefits accruing from digitisation.
With ongoing efforts to offer more user-friendly and
enhanced user-experience (UX) solutions, the Group
also commenced a phased roll-out of the revamped
mobile and online banking platforms. Successful launch
of the new and enhanced businessONLINE platform for
Emirates NBD and Emirates Islamic, as well as for
international geographies, led to further penetration
and increase in digitally active Corporate and Business
Banking clients. Corporate and Institutional Banking
further enhanced its digital banking suite to cover virtual
accounts, liquidity management, API banking, digital
supply chain finance, and smartGUARANTEES. In
addition, we launched new state-of-the-art products
such as Dynamic Discounting, positioning Emirates NBD
as the first bank in the region to offer this product.
Drive core business
Keeping a firm focus on core business, Emirates NBD
continued to be one of the leading retail franchises in the
UAE market, achieving above market growth in retail
deposits, and new retail loans and card volumes
recovering to exceed pre-COVID levels. In 2022, the
Group aims to sustain growth momentum, and tap into
the benefits of our new and enhanced mobile and online
banking to further strengthen our market position and
driving higher customer acquisitions.
بنك الإمارات دبي الوطني
Emirates NBD
15.
NasdaqDuba
Hesham Abdulla Al Qassim, Emirates NBD Vice Chairman and Managing Director, rings market-opening
bell at Nasdaq Dubai to celebrate listing of USD 750 million bond
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