H1 2018 Highlights
14
Macro Environment
Ireland
• Irish economy performing strongly
GDP +7.2% 2017 +6.7% 2018 forecast
• SEM Electricity demand growth
• Irish sovereign rating strengthened
SEM¹ System Demand Growth (%)
ES3
4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
2016
2017
2018F
2019F
2020F
2021F
A+ Stable (S&P) and A2 Stable (Moody's)
1 Single Electricity Market = Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland
GB
• UK GDP +1.7% 2017 & +1.3% 2018 forecast
Brexit
Uncertainty persists but prudent financial management protecting ESB's credit metrics;
Sterling assets matched with sterling funding;
SEM underpinned by pre-existing legislation in NI and ROI;
ESB's Networks businesses have no volume risk with NIE having revenue visibility out to Q1 2024
UK Capacity Market
Under review following suspension but minimal financial impact for 2018/2019
Source: Eirgrid
Energy for
generations
Forecast Irish GDP Source: Central Bank of Ireland
UK GDP Source: Office of Budget Responsibility
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