Investment and Growth Strategy slide image

Investment and Growth Strategy

130 120 110 100 90 80 70 Jan-22 1.8 May-15 2.3 2.8 3.3 Series1 GEORGIAN LARI - NOW ABOVE PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS APPRECIATING SINCE MID-2021, BRIEFLY INTERRUPTED AFTER THE RUSSIAN INVASION OF UKRAINE, GEL HAS NOW STRENGTHENED TO ABOVE PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS AGAINST USD 3.8 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Feb-17 May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18 Aug-18 Nov-18 Feb-19 May-19 Aug-19 3.46 where 2.77 GEL HAS APPRECIATED AGAINST USD, DESPITE USD STRENGTHENING GLOBALLY DXY - USD/Trading Partner Basket (Jan 2022=100) USD/GEL (Jan 2022=100) Georgia Capital PLC | Source: NBG. Bloomberg Jan-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Nov-19 Feb-20 May-20 Mar-23 Apr-23 Aug-20 Nov-20 Feb-21 May-21 Aug-21 Nov-21 Feb-22 May-22 Aug-22 Nov-22 Feb-23 3.40 GEORGIA CAPITAL May-23 105.8 80.9 2.50 GEL APPRECIATION DRIVERS Record-high remittance inflows, surging by 130% y-o-y in 1Q23; Continued robust performance in merchandise exports, growing by 25% y-o-y in 1Q23; Tourism revenues rebounding to 138% of 2019 level in 1Q23, reflecting the global resumption of travel as well as the migration effect; Tight monetary policy (cumulative hike of 300 basis points since March 2021 to 11% as of May 2023), supporting stronger GEL and curbing negative expectations; Ample FX liquidity in the banking sector, facilitating foreign currency lending (FX liquidity coverage ratio at an average of 137.4% in 2022 and 136.4% in 1Q23); Rebounding economic activity and significant interest rate differential aiding accelerated lending in foreign currency, as FX loan growth has remained resilient thus far despite rising FX interest rates, averaging 12.2% in 2022 and 10.5% in 1Q23 (w/o the exchange rate effect). May-23 77
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