Investor Presentaiton
26
HIGHLY ATTRACTIVE FINANCIAL MODEL WITH STRONG PROFITABILITY
1 Backed by a robust industry backdrop and unique business model
$841 billion TAM with 12 million used vehicles annually sold through auctions
Starting from very low penetration of retail remarketing volumes (<0.1% today and
<1% estimated by 2025)
Total Retail Vehicle Sales
+74,000-78,500
CAGR :138%³
Scalable end-to-end supply chain and e-commerce platform has been honed over the
past 9 years
80,000 84,500
49,016
6,098
19,026
Capital-efficient business model provides robust free cash flow
2020E
2021E
2022E
2023E
One of the market participants that is currently both run-rate profitable and cash flow
breakeven prior to proposed growth investment
Revenue ($ million)
2) Nationwide footprint expansion based on a proven playbook
Opening 3-4 new hubs per quarter with the first several hubs identified by
experienced real estate team
+$1,430-$1,590
CAGR: 145%³
New hubs can be operational within 90 days and budgets $750K investment each
(actual capex per existing hub has been much lower)
$1,540 - $1,700
$945
$110
$356
Supply of consignment inventory to hubs ramps up rapidly starting within 30 days of
opening
2020E
2021E
2022E
2023E
New hubs are sized for growth, and have sell-through assumptions more
conservative than existing hubs
3 CarLotz rapid growth trajectory is a proven path in the industry
Scaling sales by ~$1.5bn over 3 years is comparable to (or more conservative) than
leading peers
Superior risk-adjusted returns from a fee-based model with very little capital tied up
in inventory
Multiple areas of upside not factored into the model: better sell-through velocity, F&I
product expansion based on addition of basic new products and the accelerating
network effects of a nationwide platform
123
Note: These projections are for illustrative purposes and should not be relied upon as being necessarily indicative of future results.
Edmunds 2019 Used Vehicle Market Report.
Represents total consolidated gross profit.
3 Represents 2020E - 2023E CAGR based on midpoint of 2023E projections.
Gross profit ($ million)²
+ $188 - $238
CAGR: 164%³
$200 - $250
$121
$12
$43
2020E
2021E
2022E
2023E
Margin:
11%
12%
13%
14%
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