KBank Subsidiaries and ASEAN Economic Strategy slide image

KBank Subsidiaries and ASEAN Economic Strategy

K KASIKORNTHAI Sources and Uses of Public Funds FY2020 Budget ธนาคารกสิกรไทย 开泰银行 KASIKORNBANK Implementation of FY2020 budget is experiencing delays from October 1, 2019 to 1Q20, due to political reasons. FY2020 budget act was approved in January and was published in the Royal Gazette on February 24. Budget Planning Tax Revenue + Non-Tax Revenue (Bt2.73trn) + Borrowing under FY2019 Budget Act (Bt469bn) FY2020 Budget (Bt3.20trn) = General Budget (Bt2.46trn or 77%) + Investment Budget (Bt0.66trn or 20%) + Principal Repayments (Bt0.09trn or 3%) Budget Execution Budget Disbursement (100% target disbursement rate + carry-over) General Administration (Bt1.18trn or 37%) ■ Defense ■Homeland security Economic Affairs (Bt678bn or 21%) Development of the country's competiveness ■ Subsidize SOES (e.g. Infrastructure project, free bus and train service policy) ■Infrastructure/Agricultural Development Social and Community Services (Bt1.34trn or 42%) ■ Education ■ Universal Healthcare Extra-Budget Borrowing under Extra-Budget Borrowing Special Act/Decree To relieve the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, the government approved emergency decree that allows the Finance Ministry to borrow up to Bt1.0trn Notes: Thai government's fiscal year (FY) begins on 1 October and ends on 30 September of the following year. IFF = Infrastructure Fund, PPP = Public-Private Partnership, SFIs = Specialized Financial Institutions Quasi-Fiscal Instrument SFIs taking deposits, borrowing, as well as government subsidy Quasi-fiscal activities (e.g Soft Loan Program) บริการทุกระดับประทับใจ 137 K KASIKORNTHAI Government Fiscal Budget Billion Baht 1200 1000 600 ธนาคารกสิกรไทย 开泰银行 KASIKORNBANK ◉ Thai parliament approved FY2020 budget worth Bt3.2trn, with a deficit of Bt469bn 800 600 163 100 400 200 450 390 450 469 390 ■ 0 FY2016 ■Budget Deficit FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020F Extra-Budget Borrowing Key Points Economic Implementation of FY2020 budget effective February 2020 To relieve the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, the government approved an emergency decree allowing the Finance Ministry to borrow up to Bt1trn (Bt600bn for FY2020 and Bt400bn for FY2021), of which Bt600bn will be used for relief measures and public health and Bt400bn will be spent on economic recovery measures In addition to growth in commercial bank loans, government funding activities may affect system liquidity Policies ■2019 Budget Act ■2020 Budget Act ■FY2019 budget at Bt3trn with a deficit of Bt450bn ■FY2020 budget at Bt3.2trn with a deficit of Bt469b Implementation Process FY2019 ■ Effective date: October 1, 2018 FY2020 ■■Effective date: February 24, 2020 Possible Impacts/ Expected Budget ■Government spending will help maintain economic momentum ■Fiscal sustainability to remain manageable in near-term; however, continued debt creation, both from budget deficit and other borrowings, may impact long-term fiscal sustainability Note: FY2016, FY2017, FY2018, and FY2019 budget deficits are based on budget documentation, whereas extra-budget borrowing is projected by KResearch - Thai government's fiscal year (FY) begins on October 1 and ends on September 30 of following year - NLA National Legislative Assembly; PPP = Public-Private Partnership Sources: The Ministry of Finance and KResearch (as of May 2020) บริการทุกระดับประทับใจ 138
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