Earnings and Dividend Growth

Growth in Household Credit • Total household credit, in annual nominal terms, has slowed considerably since the 2007 peak of 13.4% y/y. However, Q1-2021 growth of 5.1% y/y is the fastest pace of expansion since Q3-2017. • Consumer loans excluding mortgages (i.e., cards, HELOCS, unsecured lines, auto loans, etc.) fell by 0.7% y/y in Q1-2021. Consumer loan growth has trended downward since late-2000 highs of over 16.6% y/y, with negative growth in recent months induced by consumer spending pullbacks. Mortgage credit grew at 7.3% y/y in Q1-2021 vs the 2007 peak of 13.7% y/y. Underlying demand coupled with lower five-year rates drove a rebound in the pace of growth. Household Credit Growth 20 %, 3-month moving average yly% 15 change %, 3-month moving average yly% change Consumer Loan Growth Residential Mortgage Growth 10 m/m% 5 change, SA 15 10 22505052 12 -5 -10 -15 20 %, 3-month moving average 15 yly% change 10 m/m% change, SA 5 m/m% change, SA 0 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada. -20 T 21 21 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada. 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada. 68

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