Investor Presentation
Components of Timberland Return - U.S. South
Low
Risk Scale
Return Component
Value Range
Risk to Achieve
Cash Return Expectation
EBITDA Return
(-) Capex Investment
Current Cash Flow Return
2.0% - 4.0%
~(0.5%)
1.5% - 3.5%
Productivity Gains
HBU Uplift
Long-Term "Real" Price Growth
Typical "Real" Return Expectation
(+) Assumed Long-Term Inflation
"Nominal" Return Expectation
Rayonier
Comments
High
EBITDA yield for Southern timber, including
timber harvest and non-timber income
Average annual cost of replanting/
silviculture; can vary based on site
Varies based on market quality, site index /
productivity, stocking, etc.
Other Components of Return
0.5% - 1.0%
ā DOOO]
Based on improved silviculture; higher gain
potential on lower quality properties
0.0% - 1.0%
0.0% - 1.0%
Requires market for rural property;
proximity to population centers is key
"Return to trend" / long-term expectation of
real price increases above inflation
Total Return Expectation
4.0% - 5.0%
Varies
~2.0%
6.0% - 7.0%
Varies
Represents typical timberland real discount
rate range
Based on long-term historical spread
between treasuries and TIPS
Represents expected long-term, unlevered
return on timberland investments
Investor Presentation | November 2023
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