Analysis of Global Power Market
Analysis of Global Power Market
Overview of SEA Power Market
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The continuous economic and population growth pushed up power demand in Southeast Asia growing from 845.9 TWh in 2016 to 927.0 TWh in 2018, with a
CAGR of 4.7%. Correspondingly, the power generation in Southeast Asia also experienced a growing trend from 915.0 TWh in 2016 to 988.0 TWh in 2018,
representing a CAGR of 3.9%. In the future, with further economic development, the power consumption and power generation are expected to reach
1,185.6 TWh and 1,268.8 TWh in 2023 respectively, with CAGRS of around 5.0% and 5.1%.
In order to satisfy the rapidly increasing power demand, the cumulative power installed capacity increased from 227.3 GW in 2016 to 256.9 GW in 2018,
representing a CAGR of 6.3%. Amongst the cumulative power installed capacity, the thermal power took a dominant share in 2018, which occupied around
70% of the total power installed capacity in Southeast Asia, followed by the hydropower and solar power. In the next 5 years, the cumulative power installed
capacity in Southeast Asia is forecasted to keep the growing trend and reach 364.1 GW in 2023. The renewable energy power installed capacity, especially
solar power and wind power, is expected to play an increasingly important role in the future.
The power prices in most of Southeast Asia countries are regulated by the government, expect Singapore and Philippines. As a result, the policies have
significant impacts on the power prices of those restricted market. Besides, the relationship between power demand and supply may decide the power prices
in the open market such as Singapore and Philippines.
Power Generation and Power Consumption,
Cumulative Power Installed Capacity, SEA,
2016-2023E
GW
1,129.1
1,074.8
1,268.8
400
CAGR: 7.2%
364.1
1,185.6
339.5
350
CAGR: 6.3%
316.6
295.3
300
275.1
256.9
240.6
250
227.3
200
150
100
50
0
SEA, 2016-2023E
CAGR
Generation
(16-18) (18-23E)
3.9%
5.1%
TWh
Consumption 4.7%
5.0%
1,400
1,096.2 1,149.3 1,207.4
1,200
1,044.0
1,022.8
915.0 942.5
1,000
988.0
881.4
975.4
927.0
845.9
800
600
400
200
0
2016
2017
Power Generation
2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E
Power Consumption
FROST &
2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E
SULLIVAN
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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