Investor Presentaiton
18.0%
Robust economic growth persisted in 2023 as slowing external
demand was substituted by stronger domestic spending
Real GDP y-o-y growth
2011-2022
average
2021 1 2
2022
2023
2024F 2025F
5.2%
10.6%
11.0%
7.5% 6.0%
5.5%
14.6%
11.6%
11.0%
10.5%
9.7%
9.3%
10.6%
2.6%
8.3%
7.3% 7.5%
7.7%
8.8%
8.3%
8.4%
5.8%
6.2%
7.2%
Jan-22
Feb-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
7.0%
5.8%
5.5%
5.1%
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
Key growth drivers in 2023:
Robust domestic demand driven by strong
investment and consumption spending
Increased activity in the trade, IT, construction,
transport, and education sectors
Solid inflows from tourism and exports:
Tourism revenues up by 17.3% y-o-y
Export of goods increased by 9.1% y-o-y
5.9%
Growth outlook for 2024:
Real GDP growth is expected at 6.0% in 2024
driven by strong consumption and investment
expenditure along with resilient external
demand
Sustained geopolitical instability in the region
and tight global financial conditions pose
downside risks to the outlook
Increased fiscal space and replenished
international reserves cushion the economy
from possible shocks down the road
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Source: Geostat, Galt & Taggart
Note: In February 2024, Geostat revised the historical series of GDP in line with the recommendations
from international organisations such as the IMF and Eurostat.
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