Investor Presentaiton
Upstart risk separation
Significantly better at differentiating risk than credit scores
Annualized default ratesĀ¹
Upstart Risk Grades
A+
B
C
D
E-
Average
700 or
Above
1.0%
2.9%
5.4%
7.8%
12.2%
4.2%
680 to 699
1.1%
2.8%
5.2%
7.1%
12.0%
5.5%
~4x more defaults
between highest and
Upstart's risk grades predict
a steadily increasing default rate from
left to right as the borrowers get riskier.
Looking down any column, there's
significantly less difference between
default rates, regardless of credit score.
Credit
Score
660 to 679
1.7%
3.3%
5.6%
7.7%
12.8%
7.2%
lowest credit score
640 to 659
2.6%
3.9%
5.9%
8.5%
14.6%
9.2%
639 or
Below
4.7%
5.5%
7.5%
10.3%
20.1%
15.1%
Average
1.3%
3.4%
5.9%
8.5%
16.2%
~12x more defaults
between highest and
lowest Upstart risk grade
1 Upstart internal performance data as of April 27, 2023. Consists of all originations made 2018-Q1 to 2022-Q4 "vintages."
Upstart
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