RSV Seasonal Vaccine Introduction and Growth Strategy
2023 full year outlook considerations to support modelling
Vaccines turnover
Increase mid-teens %, excluding pandemic adjuvant
sales
Shingrix to increase high-teens %
Flu to decrease around 20%
Meningitis to increase mid to high-teens %
Established Vaccines to increase high single-digit %
Turnover to adj. operating profit items
COGS: to increase at a rate broadly aligned to
turnover
SG&A: to increase at a rate broadly aligned to turnover
R&D: to increase at a rate slightly below turnover
Royalties: around £800m
GSK adj. operating profit is expected to increase
between 11% and 13%
The above items exclude the impact of COVID-19
solutions
Specialty Medicines turnover
Increase high single-digit % for Specialty Medicines,
excluding Xevudy sales
HIV to increase high single-digit %
Oncology to decrease mid-teens %, before returning to
growth in 2024
Adj. operating profit to adj. EPS items
Interest: between £700m to £750m
Share of associates: negligible
Tax rate: around 15%
Non-controlling interest: ViiV is main ongoing NCI, with
Q1 2022 'Other' NCI not repeating
GSK adj. EPS is expected to increase between 14% and
17%
General Medicines turnover
Increase low single-digit %
COVID-19 solutions
Not anticipating significant sales
Expect this to reduce GSK turnover growth by
approximately 8% and reduce adj. operating profit
growth by 4% to 5%
Dividend
Expect 56.5p per share
GSK
All turnover and growth comments at CER. Adj. is abbreviation for Adjusted. All expectations and targets regarding future performance and the dividend should be read together with the "Guidance, assumptions and
cautionary statements" on page 54 of our second quarter 2023 earnings release, page 2 of our second quarter 2023 results announcement and the cautionary statement slide included with this presentation. Tax rate
expectation is based on enacted legislation and is reflective of the anticipated performance of the business and key assets. The tax rate could fluctuate in individual years due to the timings of settlements of open
years with tax authorities, as we continuously bring our tax affairs up to date. Interest expectation assumes no significant adverse movements in interest rates.
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