Outlook Projection FY 2023-24 slide image

Outlook Projection FY 2023-24

Total GR Expenditures = $10.2 Billion General Revenue Fund Recurring and Nonrecurring Budget Driver Impact ($Millions) New Recurring Drivers for Each Year Continuation of Year 1 Recurring Drivers Continuation of Year 2 Recurring Drivers Cumulative Impact of Recurring Drivers Nonrecurring Drivers for Each Year Fiscal Year 2023-24 Fiscal Year Fiscal Year 2024-25 2025-26 Three-Year Total % of Three- Year Total 980.4 1,071.9 1,115.9 3,168.2 980.4 980.4 1,960.7 1,071.9 1,071.9 980.4 2,052.3 3,168.2 6,200.8 60.5% Grand Total 967.4 1,947.7 1,575.6 1,500.3 4,043.3 39.5% 3,627.9 4,668.5 10,244.1 Simply looking at the new infusions of General Revenue needed each year does not present a complete picture. Over the entire three-year period, 60.5 percent of the General Revenue infused each year must be recurring to match the ongoing nature of the budget investment. Those expenditures cumulate and stack on top of each other in the subsequent years. As the table shows, of the $1,947.7 million needed for drivers in Fiscal Year 2023-24, $980.4 million will be needed again in Fiscal 2024-25 (and again in Fiscal Year 2025-26) to continue those programs. This makes the actual dollar impact of the drivers identified in the Outlook larger than the displayed drivers alone suggest. In effect, the $7.2 billion in new infusions over the Outlook period support $10.2 billion in additional costs over the period. Both effects are accounted for in the Outlook. 14
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