Barclays H1 2022 Results
4
2
10
8
6
Inflation uncertainty but GDP growth and unemployment resilient
Monthly YoY inflation 1 (%)
Interest rates (%)
Jun-22:9.40
GBP 5 Year
Jun-22:9,10
swap rate²
3.25
2.75
2.25
1.75
1.25
0.75
0.25
-0.25
O
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
Dec-19
Mar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
-UK
⚫US
GDP growth and inflation forecasts (%)
Real GDP growth³
Dec-20
Mar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Inflation rate4
Dec-21
Mar-22
Jun-22
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
UK base
rate
Jun-22: 2.48
Dec-19
Unemployment rate forecasts 5 (%)
Mar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Mar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
Mar-22
Jun-22: 1.25
Jun-22
8.6
8.0
4.3
4.5
3.9
3.7
4.0
4.1
5.0 3.7
2.5
2.0
3.4
2.0
0.6 1.2
1.5
1.8
UK
US
UK US
UK
US
2022
2023
2024
UK US
2022
UK
US
2023
UK US
2024
7 | Barclays H1 2022 Results | 28 July 2022
1 UK CPI YY (Refinitiv: GBHICY=ECI) and US CPI YY NSA (Refinitiv: USCPNY=ECI) | 2UK Pound Sterling SONIA OIS Zero 5 Year Point (Refinitiv: GBPOIS5YZ=R) | ³ Median UK GDP annual average % change based on polls as of 25th July 2022. Median US GDP annual average % change
based on polls as of 20th July 2022 (Refinitiv: Economic Indicator Polls) | 4 Median UK CPIFY % change based on polls as of 25th July 2022. Median US CPI FY % change based on polls as of 20th July 2022 (Refinitiv: Economic Indicator Polls) | 5 Median UK unemployment rate forecasts
based on polls as of 25th July 2022 (Refinitiv: Economic Indicator Polls). Median US unemployment rate forecasts based on polls as of 20th July 2022 (Refinitiv: Economic Indicator Polls) |
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