Investor Presentaiton
Buoyant business activity endures cost-side pressure with the inflation peak expected in June-July
Business turnover*: +26% (€21 bn) above its pre-
pandemic level in 5M22 and +30% y-o-y (€23 bn)
A combined rebound in labor income and firms' profits
-5
-10
-15
25050525
20
25
y-o-y
€bn
15
15
10
10
5
20
20
0
-5
-10
15
-15
*Excluding energy-related
sectors & financial services
25
25
20
15
NATIONAL BANK
OF GREECE
Gross operating surplus & mixed income
Total compensation of employees
CPI inflation will peak in June-July and dissipate at a slower
than-previously-expected pace due to higher energy prices
14
12
10
4208642ONT
pps
Dec-19
Mar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Mar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
Mar-22
y-o-y
14
12
10
NONT
Dec-22
Sep-22
------- 77-սո
10
2019
2020
2021
10
U
D
.....2022
Greek firms enjoy high pricing power against resilient demand
ANNA O
-40
-20
20
0
index
Feb-18
Jun-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Jun-19
Oct-19
Feb-20
Jun-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Jun-21
Oct-21
Feb-22
Jun-22
40
NO NO
-20
20
0
-40
Other
Food contribution in CPI (pps, left axis)
Fuel contribution in CPI (pps, left axis)
Electricity contribution in CPI (pps, left axis)
CPI inflation (y-o-y, right axis)
Sources: ELSTAT, European Commission & NBG Economic Analysis estimates
National Bank of Greece 2Q22 results
Macro
Services: Price expectations over next 3 months
Retail: Price expectations over next 3 months
Industry: Price expectations for the months ahead
Consumer: Price trends over next 12 months
28View entire presentation