Scotiabank Earnings Report Q1 2019

Canadian Household Credit Growth Moderating Public policy changes are moderating growth in household credit • Total household credit grew at 3.1% in nominal terms in 2018 vs 2008 peak of 12.4% y/y • Consumer loans excluding mortgages (i.e. cards, HELOCs, unsecured lines, auto loans, etc.) grew at 3.0% in 2018 vs > 5% in late-2017 Mortgage credit grew at 3.1% in 2018 vs 2008 peak of 13% HOUSEHOLD CREDIT GROWTH CONSUMER LOAN GROWTH RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE GROWTH 20 20 %, 3-month moving %, 3-month moving average average 18 15 15 y/y % change 16 14 y/y % change 12 10 5 8 20 %, 3-month moving average 18 16 yly % 14 change 12 m/m% change, 10 SA 10 8 6 4 0 2 0 -5 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada. m/m% change, SA 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada. CO 6 4 2 0 m/m% change, SA 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada. Scotiabank® 43

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