Investor Presentaiton
Growth Scenarios for Tourism to Sri Lanka: November 2021
Growth scenarios for tourism to Sri Lanka, 2021 to 2025
Conservative vs. Optimistic growth scenarios for each year based on SLTDA Research Team Analysis as of November 2021
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Month
scenario
scenario
scenario
scenario
Conservative Optimistic Conservative Optimistic Conservative Optimistic Conservative Optimistic Conservative Optimistic
scenario
scenario
scenario
scenario
scenario
scenario
January
1,682*
1,682*
45,606
79,764
82,671
93,323
183,148
289,131
235,785
325,599
February
3,366*
3,366
52,438
73,114
85,928
102,179
179,258
282,992
230,779
305,455
March
4,581*
4,581
50,976
76,454
89,181
111,290
175,870
277,642
226,416
290,099
April
4,168*
4,168
41,303
69,783
92,430
120,647
142,065
224,274
182,895
276,726
May
1,497*
1,497
30,517
63,104
105,675
130,242
110,446
174,358
142,188
186,805
June
1,614*
1,614
32,712
76,416
108,916
140,068
121,077
191,142
155,876
223,568
July
2,429*
2,429
51,397
89,720
112,154
150,119
166,542
262,915
214,406
315,641
August
5,040*
5,040
47,520
103,017
115,388
160,389
156,134
246,485
201,009
308,956
September
13,547*
13,547
35,743
86,308
118,619
170,873
124,692
196,848
160,529
249,254
October
22,771*
22,771
37,148
89,591
121,847
181,565
128,444
202,771
165,358
251,492
November
34,075
42,565
43,982
112,869
125,072
192,461
154,722
244,255
199,189
296,671
December
48,419
82,419
60,465
126,142
128,294
203,557
191,817
302,816
246,945
345,521
Total
143,189
185,679
529,808
1,046,282
1,286,185
1,756,712
1,834,215
2,895,630
2,361,376
3,375,787
Notes:
1.
'*' denotes actual arrivals figures
2.
Conservative & Optimistic scenarios: The Conservative scenario considers the average value obtained from the time series analysis of the first ten months of 2021 and arrival
fluctuations (Peak/Off peak), while the Optimistic scenario considers the upper value obtained from the time series analysis of the first ten months of 2021 and arrival fluctuations.
3. The 2024 & 2025 Conservative growth scenario was calculated using the average value of the Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA) 2021 Scenarios and the time series analysis of
SLTDA.View entire presentation