Investor Presentaiton
October 12, 2021
GBM
MEXICO'S FUNDAMENTALS: SHIFT TOWARDS HARD FLOORING
A noticeable shift towards hard flooring. Tile, wood, and other materials were present in only 26.3% of
households back in 1980, in contrast with 43% in 2020. As the image below shows, there is a clear trend
to change from dirt to concrete and then to hard floor covering. In our view, this is the reason why the
ceramic tiles industry is outperforming the GDP growth of both Mexico and the construction sector over
the past decades. (More detail on slide 13).
Housing deficit. According to the National Housing Commission (CONAVI), at least 25% of households
in Mexico live in inadequate housing conditions, while -2% need a house. On top of that, Mexico's
growing young population will continue to demand more housing and ceramic tiles, for that matter-
the latter should be top-of-mind for consumers when thinking about hard flooring options, given their
characteristics, explained in greater detail on slide 5.
Floor Materials in Mexican Households
-Percentage of households
80.0%
75.5%
73.7%
69.2%
62.7%
57.0%
It is all about home improvement. This is no secret; a household is never finished doing home
improvements and most (if not all) people aspire to live in a place where they feel pleased or fulfilled.
Due to technological improvements that lowered the cost of producing ceramic tiles and their physical
appearance (tiles that look like wood or stone), they are a great option for consumers when thinking
about floor or wall enhancements.
Traditional or mom & pop stores (i.e., not large home centers) hold a relevant share of renovation
material sales in Mexico because people tend to renovate their homes on their own. This is feasible
because of the support granted through government social programs, such as INFONAVIT'S MEJORAVIT,
where people borrow money specifically to make home improvements, which is positive for a sector that
continues to grow as fundamentals remain favorable.
According to our estimates, the value of the Mexican home improvement market is expected to maintain
its growth pace toward 2024 (2019-2024 CAGR of 2.3%), while a sample of floor and wall covering sales
indicates that they together represent almost a third (28%) of the total home improvement sales. More
importantly, they have slightly outperformed the industry, which we attribute to the increased penetration
of better floor covering materials.
Home Improvement Breakdown
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
43.0%
37.3%
30.8%
26.3%
24.5%
0.0%
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Dirt, cement and not specified
Tile, wood or others
Source: Mexico's National Statistics Agency (INEGI)
Others
2015-2020 CAGR
72.0%
Floor
covering
23.5%
4.5%
Home
improvement
4.5%
Wall
covering
~5%
~5.5%
Floor
covering
Wall
covering
Source: GBM Research
LAMOSA/CERAMIC: THE ROAD TO GROWTH IS PAVED WITH TILES. | 8View entire presentation