Investor Presentaiton
Dynamic Risk Assessment
What is DRA?
Dynamic Risk Assessment (DRA) is an evolution in risk assessment. It
considers the traditional measures of risk severity and likelihood - but
also considers risk interconnectedness (risks that link together) and
velocity (expected speed with which risks will affect operations).
The DRA process uses the scientific consensus methodology of expert
elicitation to collect the data for analysis, and network theory to connect
the organization's risks in a three-dimensional space
Potential impact
Traditional, two
dimensional risk map
High
Low
This individually insignificant risk
has hidden systemic
significance: it triggers many
other risks into existence, all of
them more significant than itself
Likelihood of occurrence
Inter-connected view
Likelihood and severity of this
cluster exceeds those of this
single risk
High
Connectivity strength:
low
medium
high
Likelihood
The individually most
significant risk
exhibits low levels of
expected contagion
Severity
Key features:
An evolution in risk assessment
Relies on expert elicitation, and advanced data
analytics in order to identify, connect and visualize
risk in four dimensions
Considers the contagion effects of individual risks,
and the potential speed with which risks will affect
operations
Identifies the most acute systemic risks for a
business
Identifies the systemically most significant risk
Provides visibility over how 'structural breaks'
(macroeconomic, sociopolitical and other megatrends
not necessarily previously observed) impact
organization's risk profile
Helps to inform clients' forward-looking strategic
direction
Can inform control design for the prevention,
detection and remediation of the risks
Informs risk mitigation and response plans in relation
to systemic risk
Can help increase business resilience and turn risk
into opportunity
KPMG
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Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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