3Q 2020 Investor Presentation
3Q 2020 Credit Market Update
Buoyant credit markets despite ongoing real economy disruption from COVID-19
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Real Economy
COVID-19 Pandemic
>> New cases of COVID-19 increased in the U.S. and Europe
>> Policy responses: some U.S. states and European
countries rolled back re-opening measures
» Vaccine / treatment timing unclear; optimism for 1H 2021
Geopolitical Impact
>> U.S. China frictions remained elevated
>> U.S. election season in heightened focus
>> Continued international travel restrictions
>> Oil prices recovered from lows but subdued
Macroeconomic Response
>> U.S. Fed and other central bank actions are accommodative
>> Fiscal stimulus measures in the E.U.
>> Additional fiscal stimulus in the U.S. delayed
>> Many businesses have fully utilized PPP funding
>> Some industries resuming furloughs (travel, entertainment, etc.)
1. MIS rated issuance.
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Credit Markets
Investment Grade Bonds
>> Record issuance volumes¹
» Liquidity-driven capital raising
>> Opportunistic refinancing driven by effective yields
lower than pre-pandemic for many issuers
>> M&A pipeline limited, though indications of
improvement
High Yield Bonds
» Continued strength
>> Significant spread tightening from March, with
spreads now approximately in line with historical
averages (U.S. HY ~500 bps)
» Appetite for risk assets evidenced
by continued equity market strength
Leveraged Loans
» Improving, but relatively weak
>> Demand for floating rate debt limited
>> Modest M&A pipeline
3Q 2020 Investor Presentation - November 11, 2020 18View entire presentation