Investor Presentaiton
COLLECTIVE PROVISION DRIVERS
INCREASED PROVISIONS IN LIGHT OF ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY
SUMMARY
• FY20 COVID-19 related collective provision totals $133m
Increase provision is the result of a change in forecast
assumptions towards higher unemployment, downgrades to
property prices, and increased duration of the economic
downturn
Probability weightings to the downside and severe case
scenarios have increased
COLLECTIVE PROVISION ($M)
339
64
210
62
275
148
FY19
FY20
Collective Provision
GRCL
BOQD
GROUP
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTION - 31 AUGUST 2020
Base
Downside
Severe
Economic Assumptions
2020
2021
2022
2020
2021
2022
2020
2021
2022
GDP Movement (%)
-6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
-7.5%
4.0%
3.0%
-9.0%
5.0%
3.5%
Unemployment Rate (%)
10.0%
8.5%
7.0%
10.5%
9.0%
7.5%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
Residential property price
-6.0%
-5.0%
5.0%
-10.0%
-7.5%
5.0%
-12.5%
-10.0%
0.0%
movement (%)
Commercial property price
-10.0%
-5.0%
5.0%
-15.0%
-7.5%
5.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
movement (%)
COVID-19 CP ($m)
$109m
$185m
$285m
Scenario weighting (%)
75%
20%
5%
CP overlay
$133m
Bank of Queensland Limited 2020 Full Year Results Presentation
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