Recovery of the Greek Economy
GREECE CREDIT RATING IS ON A SUSTAINED UPWARD TREND (CONT'D)
Overview of Rating Agencies Decisions on Greece
Rating Agency
Last
Publication
Rating,
Outlook
Date
Fitch Ratings 22-Jan-2021
BB,
Stable
19-Mar-2021
DBRS
BB-,
Stable
✓
✓
Factors that could lead to an upgrade
Debt-to-GDP ratio on firm downward path, due
to fiscal consolidation, return to GDP growth or
sustained low costs of borrowing
Improvement in medium-term GDP growth
outlook, supported by structural reforms and EU
recovery plan
Improvement in asset quality in the banking
sector, leading to improved credit provision
✓ Improvement of the economic outlook due to
effective management of the Covid crisis
Compliance with post-programme monitoring
and continuation with structural reforms and
cooperation on fiscal efforts
✓ Continuation of structural reforms
S&P Global
Ratings
✓
23-Apr-2021
BB,
Positive
Economic rebound stronger than expected and
stronger than peers'
✓ Strong budgetary performance
✓
Marked reduction in Non-Performing Exposure
✓ Further progress on structural reforms yielding
tangible results
MOODY'S 25-May-2021
✓
Ba3,
Stable
✓
✓
Stronger investment and solidified medium-term
growth prospects
More rapid reduction in debt-to-GDP ratio than
expected
Improvement in asset quality in the banking
sector
Factors that could lead to a downgrade
Next publication
date
× Failure to reduce Debt-to-GDP ratio, due to an
extended period of fiscal easing and economic
contraction
× Adverse developments in the banking sector
× Long-lasting impact of the crisis on the growth
outlook
× Persistent negative economic performance
16-Jul-2021
× Reversal or stalling in structural reforms and
lack of fiscal effort
17-Sep-2021
× Renewed financial sector instability
None
Only the outlook may be revised to stable in case of:
× Weaker economic activity than expected
× Large and negative deviations from current
budgetary projections
× Interruption of structural reforms, putting at risk
the agreement with Euro Area creditors
× Extended period of GDP contraction
× Significant rise in public debt
22-Oct-2021
19-Nov-2021
Sources: Moody's, S&P, Fitch, DBRS
|||
FUNDING THROUGHOUT THE RECOVERY
22
22View entire presentation