Economic and Investment Outlook

Government surplus expected again in 2023 Debt metrics all improved again last year Forecasted 2023 GG surplus (3.5%) despite Debt metrics set to improve this year again slowing growth Debt to GNI* expected to fall rapidly 10 5 do -5 -10 -15 -20 2000 175 Debt-to-GNI* (78.8% 2023f; 95% in 2019) 150 125 Debt-to-GG Revenue (181% 2023f; 232% in 2019) 100 do 75 Average interest rate 50 (1.5% 2023f, from 2.2% in 2019) 25 2010 2020 0₁ GGB (% GNI*) Primary Balance (% GNI*) Source: CSO, Irish Department of Finance forecasts Gníomhaireacht Bainistíochta an Chisteáin Náisiúnta National Treasury Management Agency Debt-to-GDP^ (40.5% 2023f, from 57% in 2019) ^ Debt to GDP is not an appropriate metric to use for Ireland | I 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Debt-to-GNI* Debt-to-GDP Source: CSO, Irish Department of Finance forecasts 5

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