2022 Budget Sensitivities and Financial Projections
Hydrocarbons are Abundant & Geographically Diverse
KINDER MORGAN
Increased demand for geographically concentrated energy transition minerals may put energy security at risk, worsen human
rights issues, and lead to other unintended consequences
MARKET SIZE & LEVEL OF GEOGRAPHICAL
CONCENTRATION 2019
10 000
Market size (USD billion)
Oil
1 000
Coal
Natural gas
100
Copper
Nickel
10
Rare earth
elements
Platinum
Lithium
Cobalt
1
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
Competitive
Concentrated
Herfindahl-Hirschman Index
"Markets for critical minerals are much smaller & more
concentrated than those for traditional hydrocarbon
resources" - IEA WEO 2021
Minerals
EXTRACTION & PROCESSING OF SELECT MINERALS & FOSSIL
FUELS BY TOP 3 COUNTRIES IN EACH CATEGORY 2019
Fossil fuels
Oil US
Natural gas
US
Copper
Chile
Nickel Indonesia
Cobalt
DRC
Rare earths
China
Lithium
Australia
Extraction
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Minerals
Fossil fuels
Processing
Oil refining
US
LNG export
Qatar
Copper
China
Nickel
China
Cobalt
China
Qatar
Indonesia
■DRC
■Philippines
■China
■US
Saudi Arabia
Russia
■Iran
Australia
■Chile
■Japan
Myanmar
■Peru
Lithium
China
Finland
Belgium
Rare earths
Argentina
China
Malaysia
Estonia
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
"The world's top 3 producing nations control well over 75% of global
output for lithium, cobalt, & rare earth. The level of concentration is
even higher for processing operations, with China having a strong
presence across the board" - IEA WEO 2021
Left source: IEA (2021) World Energy Outlook, World Energy Outlook 2021 - Analysis - IEA. All rights reserved.
Right: IEA (2021) The Role of Critical Minerals in Clean Energy Transitions, The Role of Critical Minerals in Clean Energy Transitions - Analysis - IEA. All rights reserved.
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