Fertiglobe Financial Overview
US Corn
US
Soybeans
Brazil
Soybeans
Brazil
Corn
High Farm Incomes Supportive Of Demand
Farm operating margins (revenue above operating costs), USD/ha
1
Supportive farm incomes in 2022:
Farm margins are attractive in grain exporting
regions as input costs have been offset by higher
crop prices, incentivising farmers to plant more
acres across all crops. High forward grain prices
is supportive of sustaining farm incomes and
strong demand until at least 2024.
France
Cereals
+99%
+35%
1,600
Farm returns on corn higher than
soybeans and incentive to plant more
corn in the US and Brazil in the 2022/23
2
Inelastic nitrogen demand:
+60%
seasons
1,400
+86%
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
3
Higher crop
futures reflective
of tight market
conditions
Higher profitability:
Higher farm revenues
exceed higher fertilizer
and operating costs
Incentivised increased
planted acreage of all crops
and nitrogen demand to
maximise yields until 2024
Farmers cannot cut nitrogen application by >10%
without realising an immediate loss in yields as
evidenced in the 2021/22 season with limited
demand destruction in grain exporting countries
US season nitrogen demand down 4% due to bad
weather and EU 5% due to limited availability.
Additional upside with switching to more
nitrogen use in India
Farmers locking in input costs:
Farmers in US, Europe and Brazil are hedging
their operating margins, by selling forward
their new crop at high forward grain pricing.
At the same time, they are buying nitrogen
to lock in margins, supportive of demand and
pricing
Fertiglobe
An ADNOC and OCI Company
Source: Company information, CRU, Bloomberg, CME, USDA
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