Nutrien Earnings and Growth Outlook
Projected grower cash margins remain above historical
average levels
Key Crop Grower Cash Margins¹
Local Currency Margin/Acre
US Corn Cash Selling Price & Costs ³
US$/bu
US Corn US Soybeans US Wheat
US Cotton
CAN Canola BRZ Soybeans2
$8.00
700
5,000
$7.00
4,500
600
4,000
$6.00
500
3,500
400
3,000
$5.00
2,500
$4.00
300
2,000
200
1,500
$3.00
1,000
100
0
-100
$2.00
500
0
$1.00
$0.00
2011
2013
Chemicals
1234
2015
2017
2019
2021F
2023F
Seed
Fertilizer
Other Costs
-Corn Price
Brazil is local currency margin/hectare on right-hand side vertical axis, while the rest of the crops reference US dollar margin/acre on the left-hand side vertical axis.
Due to crop year timing in Brazil, 2022 references the 2022/23 crop year, which was planted in Q3 & Q4 2022 with growers realizing returns in 2023. The 2023F references the 2023/24 crop year.
Annual cash costs on a per bushel basis are impacted by both realized inflation/deflation and by the annual corn yield.
Includes cash rent and with other variable costs such as fuel, energy, and repairs.
23
Source: USDA, IMEA, Bloomberg, ICE, FAO, IFA, NutrienView entire presentation