2022 State Budget: Fiscal Policy and Structural Reform slide image

2022 State Budget: Fiscal Policy and Structural Reform

Stable Monetary Environment Despite Challenges Well Maintained Inflation Ensured Price Stability 222 000 + 2 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 Strengthened Monetary Policy Framework (%) CPI (%, yoy) rhs 8.00 Core (%, yoy) - Ihs 7.00 Volatile Food (%, yoy) - Ihs2 LF Rate: 7.00 6.00 BI Rate: 6.50 Administered (%, yoy) - lhs 5.00 3.05 4.00 6 4 0 H 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Rupiah Exchange Rate Fared Relatively Well Compared to Peers 1.44 3.00 1.75 2.00 1.69 19 August 2016 The New Monetary Operation Framework Mar-16 May-16 Jan-16 Jul-16 Q3-2016 Q1-2017 2018 2019 2020 Nov-21 Credit Growth Profile % yoy 20.0 Q3-2017 Q1-2018 Q3-2018 Q1-2019 Q3-2019 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 LF Rate: 4.25 BI 7Day RR Rate: 3.50 DF Rate: 2.75 Dec-21 TRY -50.15 -19.80 THB -10.37 -2.03 ZAR -8.53 15.0 11.28 JPY -9.51 -2.59 10.0 EUR -8.94 3.66 BRL -8.74 -4.74 5.0 KRW -8.40 3.22 5.38 4.73 PHP -4.64 0.78 0.0 ■point-to-point average MYR -4.57 1.37 4.11 Total Growth Working Capital Loans INR -3.84 -5.0 0.22 Investment Loans SGD -3.07 Consumption Loans 2.66 -10.0 IDR -1.97 1.60 CNY As of 15-Dec-21 2.45 6.93 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Source: Reuters, 18omberg Calculated 40.0 -30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 142
View entire presentation