Investor Presentaiton
Cement
•
Demand Side | Price Dynamics
PACRA
Cement prices are a function of the market demand supply dynamics. Variations in prices are generally dependent upon the behavior of major cost
components of cement production, including coal prices, exchange rate, fuel costs and freight charges. Export of cement to Indian market stopped
after the imposition of heavy duty on Pakistani products by Indian government at start of FY20. Decreased exports coupled with increased capacity in
the north region increased pressure on the prices. Price in the region remained further under pressure after the imposition of covid-19 lock down in
last quarter FY20.
Uptick in construction activities post covid-19 lock down supported the cement prices. In the wake of improve capacity utilization, the prices in the are
expected to remain stable in the 2HFY21.
As mentioned in table below, clinker is exported at very low price as compare to cement despite being advanced stage product, if not finished good.
Export of clinker is not very profitable for the companies on stand alone basis but it come with other additional benefits like increased capacity
utilization and availability of export refinance facility at subsidized rates.
Price Trend (PKR/bag)
Comparison of Local and Export Prices
Avg Prices in PKR/bag
FY17
FY18 FY19
FY20
North
800
700
600
500
South
400
Export Clinker
300
Jan-13 Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21
Export Cement
-North Region
South Region
539
527
581
526
576
586
619
673
405
318
391
397
457
451
525
546
Note: Export prices are adjusted for sales tax, FED and others.
Source: APCMA, PBS 11View entire presentation