Journey Simplification and Business Resilience
Sensitivity analysis
Analysis based on key metrics
Scenario
Change in
Reference rate
Equity Market
movement
Change in VNB
Margin
1
% Change in EV
Increase by 1%
-1.4%
-2.0%
Decrease by 1%
1.1%
1.6%
Decrease by 10%
-0.1%
-1.7%
Increase by 10%
-0.3%
-0.6%
Persistency (Lapse rates)
Decrease by 10%
0.3%
0.7%
Increase by 10%
-0.5%
-0.8%
Maintenance expenses
Decrease by 10%
0.5%
0.8%
Acquisition
Increase by 10%
-3.2%
ΝΑ
Expenses
Decrease by 10%
3.2%
ΝΑ
Increase by 5%
-1.1%
-0.8%
Mortality / Morbidity
Decrease by 5%
1.1%
0.8%
Tax rate²
Increased to 25%
-4.4%
-8.5%
Actuarial
Financial
ESG
38
1. Post overrun total VNB for Individual and Group business
2. The tax rate is assumed to increase from 14.56% to 25% and hence all the currently taxed profits in policyholder/shareholder segments are taxed at a higher rate. It does not
allow for the benefit of policyholder surplus being tax-exempt as was envisaged in the DTC Bill.
HDFC
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