Investor Presentaiton
14
A track record of rapid post-crisis recovery
Estonia has historically bounced back from crises faster than peers
Comparison of the MoF's* GDP forecasts (index 2018=100)
130
120
Fiscal policy space
+
Open, diverse and
flexible economy
110
100
90
I
I
80
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024f 2025f 2026f 2027f
2019 Summer Forecast
2020 Summer Forecast
2023 Summer Forecast
Capacity to recover swiftly from
external shocks
-2022 Summer Forecast
Source: Ministry of Finance of Estonia
Estonia is exposed to external shocks due to its openness, but it has also returned to growth quickly (real GDP %)
20
10
0
Euro Area
-10
Baltic peers average
āā Estonia
-20
Stronger
Economy
post-
Covid-19 Covid-19 Ukraine-Russia
expected to
resume
crisis growth co
conflict
growth
2024f
Avg. 2010-12 growth:
Estonia 4.30% vs. Euro Area
Financial Crisis 0.97% and Baltic peers 2.77%
2005 2006 2007 2008
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023f
Source: Statistics Estonia, Eurostat, IMF World Economic Outlook April 2023, Ministry of Finance of Estonia Summer forecasts. Forecasted numbers are subject to change.
Note: (*) MoF: Ministry of Finance
2009
REPUBLIC OF ESTONIA
MINISTRY OF FINANCEView entire presentation