Investor Presentaiton
14
15
ASSET QUALITY AREAS OF INTEREST
ASSET QUALITY CONSIDERATIONS
NZ Dairy
•
•
Outlook for NZ Dairy improved following Fonterra milk price forecast
increase from NZ$4.25 to NZ$5.25
1.92% CP coverage of NZ Dairy book (~9.4% of impaired no loss
portfolio)
NZ DAIRY PORTFOLIO BY CATEGORISATION
(NZ$m)
8,269
8,417
8,430
18
57
99
579
999
823
576
509
-80% of dairy farm valuations updated in 2H16 resulting in 3%
(~NZ$307m) reduction in total valuations
Residential Development
Residential development lending exposure $4.4bn and $2.2bn for
land. Exposure to higher risk inner city postcodes -~20% of total
residential developer portfolio
RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT EXPOSURE¹
60%
7,252
7,205
6,999
Mar 16
Sep 16
Sep 15
■Performing Watch & 90+ DPD ■Impaired - No Loss Impaired - Loss
NZ DAIRY COLLECTIVE PROVISIONS AND AS % OF NZ
DAIRY EAD
1.92%
(NZ$m)
40%
20%
0%
VIC
NSW
■Within Inner-City
QLD
WA
SA
■Outside Inner-City
1.63%
1.03%
169
147
0.71%
59
93
Mar 15
Sep 15
Mar 16
Sep 16
(1) 'Inner-City' includes CBD and adjoining postcodes. There is exposure to one development in each of the inner-cities of Darwin and Hobart. Includes transactions that are well advanced but not
yet drawn-down
SOLID AUSTRALIAN BANKING PERFORMANCE
AUSTRALIAN BANKING
Cash earnings
Underlying profit'
Revenue
Expenses
7.3%
5.5%
4.9%
4.1%
3.1%
0.7%
1.9%
(1.1%)
National
Australia
Bank
2H16 vs 1H16
FY16 vs FY15
2H16 vs 1H16
FY16 vs FY15
2H16 vs 1H16
FY16 vs FY15
2H16 vs 1H16
FY16 vs FY15
AUSTRALIAN BANKING NET INTEREST MARGIN
1.70%
AUSTRALIAN BANKING LOAN GROWTH²
(%)
0.03% (0.06%)
0.01% (0.01%)
(0.06%)
4.9%
1.67%
3.0%
3.0%
1.61%
1.7%
1.7%
(0.3%)
0.1%
Sep 15
Mar 16 Sep 16
Sep 15
Mar 16 Sep 16
Sep 15
Mar 16
Lending
Margin
Funding
Mix
Other
Sep 16 ex
Markets &
Treasury
Markets
&
Sep 16
■Housing Lending
Business Lending
Treasury
(1) Underlying profit represents cash earnings before various items, including tax expense and the charge for bad and doubtful debts. It is not a statutory financial measure
(2) Spot volumes
(3) Personal lending includes consumer cards and personal loans
4.1%
(0.2%)
Mar 16 Sep 16
■Personal lending³
National
Australia
BankView entire presentation