Investor Presentaiton
ILA sensitivity to macro-economic
scenarios
Bank of Ireland 2021 Interim Results - Debt Investor Presentation
The following table indicates the approximate extent to which impairment loss allowance (ILA), excluding Group management
adjustments, would be higher or lower than reported were a 100% weighting applied to the central, upside and downside future
macro-economic scenarios respectively
30 June 2021
Impact of applying only
a central, upside or
downside scenario rather
than multiple probability
weighted scenarios¹
Total
Multiple
scenarios
Central scenario
Change in impairment loss allowance
Upside scenario
Downside scenario 1
Downside scenario 2
Impairment
loss allowance
€m
Impairment
loss allowance
€m
Impairment
Impact %
loss allowance
€m
Impact %
Impairment
loss allowance
€m
Impairment
Impact %
loss allowance
€m
Impact %
1,906
(82)
(4%)
(222)
(12%)
223
12%
662
35%
The following table indicates the approximate extent to which impairment loss allowances for the residential mortgage portfolios,
excluding post model Group management adjustments, would be higher or lower than the application of a central scenario if there was
an immediate change in residential property prices. Although such changes would not be observed in isolation, as economic indicators
tend to be correlated in a coherent scenario, this gives insight into the sensitivity of the Group's impairment loss allowance to a once-off
change in residential property values.
30 June 2021
Impact of an immediate
change in residential
property prices compared
to a scenario impairment
loss allowance
Central
scenarios
Total
Residential property price
reduction of 10%
Change in impairment loss allowance
Residential property price
reduction of 5%
Residential property price
increase of 5%
Residential property price
increase of 10%
Impairment
loss allowance
€m
Impairment
Impairment
loss allowance Impact %
€m
loss allowance
€m
Impact %
Impairment
loss allowance
€m
Impact %
Impairment
loss allowance
Impact %
€m
432
44
10%
20
5%
(18)
(4%)
33
(8%)
Bank of Ireland
1 The scenarios outlined in the table are based on the FLI weightings outlined on page 52
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