Investor Presentaiton
Covid-19 pandemic impact leads to a global recession and a
very deep slowdown for India
Indicator
FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021F
Real GDP (y-o-y %)
7.0
6.1
5.0*
1.8
Investments (y-o-y %)
7.2
9.8
1.0*
10 year G-sec yield (%, March)
7.6
7.5
6.2
6.5
Fiscal deficit (% of GDP)
3.5
3.4
3.8#
India
Exchange rate (Re/$, March avg.)
65.0
69.5
74.4
CPI Inflation (%)
3.6
3.4
4.8
4.4
Gross NPA (%)
11.6
9.4
-9.5**
11-11.5%
Repo Rate (%, March-end)
6.00
6.25
5.15
4.40
Bank Credit Growth (%)
7.4
11.0
~6.0**
1-3%
Indicator
CY2017
CY2018
CY2019
CY2020F
World GDP (y-o-y %)
3.8
3.6
2.9
-2.4
United States of America (y-o-y %)
2.3
2.9
2.3
-5.2
Global
Eurozone (Euro Area-19) (y-o-y %)
2.5
1.9
1.2
-7.3
China GDP (y-o-y %)
6.9
6.6
6.1
1.2
Note: F=forecast; # Budget estimate; * NSO provisional estimate;
** Estimate
Source: NSO, RBI, CRISIL, S&P Global Economics and Oxford Economics
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