Investor Presentaiton
Capital and credit rating
Medium term capital target unchanged
S&P Global
Issuer rating
Covered bond
Outlook
24
Target capital structure over the medium term
24.1%
2.9%
1.5%
c. ISK 20bn
2.5%
19.7%
1.9%
2.5%
1.9%
Tier 2
AT1
CET1
19.7%
C. 17-18%
15.3%
Capital ratios
31.12.2023
Surplus capital
Structure assuming Capital requirement
150-250bp mgmt
buffer
Historical capital distribution to shareholders (ISK bn)
Net earnings
12.4
12.5
1.1
2019
4.4
2020
Source: Moody's, S&P global
31.5
32.3
28.6
26.0
25.7
•
Capital distribution
15.6
2021
2022
2023
BBB
A+
Stable
Ongoing strategic review on Arion's
optimal credit rating coverage
•
The agency's increasingly constructive view on
the economic risks facing Icelandic banks
means that the temporary capital constraint
could be resolved to converge to management
buffer over regulatory requirements
This is potentially supportive of a one-notch
upgrade once S&P concludes its ongoing
review
MOODY'S
Issuer rating
Covered bond
Outlook
A3
Aa2
Stable
Upgraded by one notch in September in
recognition of robust financial performance
and strong balance sheet fundamentals
Comfortable headroom to current ratings
across key credit metrics, including asset
quality and capital
The agency's constructive view on the
Icelandic sovereign is also indirectly
supportive of future rating trajectory
Arion is currently undertaking a review of the
appropriate number of credit rating agencies
going forward.
This review will consider among other factors:
Strategic fit given our size and business
model
.
.
The issuance plan and quality of market
access
Ensuring that Arion's investors continue to
have access to quality and independent credit
assessments from highly credible credit global
rating agencies
We will communicate the outcome of this review
and any potential impact it might have on the
Group's capital flexibility and targets in the near
term
The Bank is committed to maintaining the
required capital levels of the current ratings and
regulatory thresholdsView entire presentation