Investor Presentaiton
Colombian Economy
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY COULD TAKE OFF IN 23 H21
GDP 2022: 7.3%
GDP 2023F: 1.8%
GDP 2024F: 2.6%
COLOMBIAN Q2/23 GDP BY INDUSTRY 2
13.9%
Finance, Insurance,
& Real Estate
9.6%
4.3%
Arts &
Entertainment
17.5%
Wholesale, Retail Trade,
Accommodation & Food Services
11.6%
Manufacturing
•
Economic activity in Q2-2023 posted the slowest annual growth
since Q1-2021. However, economic activity in 2023H2 could
improve amid lower FX, better public consumption and
healthier household financial conditions
Inflation reached a peak in March 2023, but remains nearly 4
times the target rate. As inflation is expected to come down,
BanRep paused its hiking cycle to the policy rate at 13.25% and
is in a cautious wait-and-see mode, while potential rate cuts will
strongly depend on inflation's convergence towards target
The Government's coalition in Congress has weakened, while
the campaign for regional elections on October 29th also reflects
weak support for the Government
Other
5.8%
Natural Resources
3.2%
Information &
Communication
245.06T
COP2015
SWDA
7.0%
Professional,
Scientific,
6.9%
Mining and Oil
& Gas Extraction
4.3%
Construction
CONTRIBUTIONS TO COLOMBIAN GDP GROWTH 2
20
y/y % change
10
10
0
-10
-20
-30
18
Other*
Investment
Consumption
Net Exports
Government
Real GDP
19
20
21
22
& Technical
Services
15.9%
Public Administration
TOP TRADING PARTNERS 3
United
States 25%
* Statistical discrepancy, subject to revision
1 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bloomberg, as of August 11, 2023; 2 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics; 3 Trade data updated as of Q4-2022
China
18%
Brazil
6%
Mexico
5%
India
3%
Others
43%
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