FY20 Results and Strategy Overview
Georgia
Armenia
Source: IMF, WEO (October 2020)
Latvia
Moldova
Turkey
Source: Geostat
Nominal GDP, USD mn
2014
2015
2016
Medium-term growth to remain high
Comparative real GDP growth rates, % (2021-2025 average) | IMF
2017
Real GDP fell by 5.8% in 9M20. According to rapid estimates, the full year
recession was -6.1%, with 4Q fall of -6.5% due to the 2nd lockdown
Real GDP, YoY %
5.5
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.9
3.9
3.8
3.6
3.5
3.5
3.1
2.2
1.7
1.4
Romania
Czech Republic
Poland
Estonia
Ukraine
Lithuania
Russian
Federation
Azerbaijan
Belarus
2018
ECONOMY HIT HARD, BUT EXPECTED TO BOUNCE BACK FAST
Gross domestic product
Diversified nominal GDP structure, 9M20
2019
Accommodation and food
service activities
Healthcare
5%
3%
Information and
communication
3%
Industry
15%
15,112
16,489 17,189 17,625
14,948
16,249
15,142
17,597 17,422
Education
5%
12,706
11,617
7.4%
6.4%
4.4%
4.8%
4.8%
5.1%
5.1%
3.6%
3.0%
Financial and insurance
activities
5%
2.9%
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
Source: Geostat
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
9M2019
9M2020
-5.8%
Source: Geostat
Transportation and storage
6%
Other
7%
Public administration and
defence
8%
Construction
8%
Agriculture
9%
Monthly Economic Activity Estimate, y-o-y growth
Economic activity slowed down again since September due to the 2nd lockdown
4.4 5.5 5.6 6.5 7.5
4.0 4.6
5.6 6.7
2.0
2.2
5.6
3.5 4.6 6.0 5.1 4.7 5.0 6.1 5.8 5.2 5.7 6.4
5.1
3.8
2.2
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
-0.7
-2.7
-3.9
-5.5-5.3
-7.7
-7.7
-7.9
-13.5
-16.6
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
71
Real estate
12%
Trade
14%
GEORGIA
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