Investor Presentaiton
Economic Updates
Global
Growth
Domestic
Growth
Inflation continued to ease over the quarter, on the back of low energy prices
Global GDP forecast for 2023 at 2.8% from 3.4% in 2022 (IMF)
Economic slowdown will be more pronounced in advanced than developing economies, amid
high inflation and financial sector stress
Phil GDP to grow 5.9% in 2023, lower than government target of 6.0% to 7.0%
Expansion driven by continued growth in private consumption and government spending
Interest Rates
& Monetary
Policy
Banking
Industry
3
BPI
BSP further increased monetary policy rate by 75bps to 6.25% by end of 1Q23
The yield curve flattened - rates on short tenors increased in anticipation of more hikes in policy rate; rates for
medium to long tenors decreased as inflation eased considerably in March
Banks to benefit from higher asset repricing if elevated inflation and interest rates persist
Amid series of rate hikes from BSP, loan growth has slowed and NPL ratio has increased
Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank led to major sell-off in US and Europe financial sectors; Philippine Banks appear
largely insulated
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