Investor Presentaiton
Global megatrends (continued)
Megatrend 3
Demographic shifts
A large and growing proportion of the world's
population lives in cities, and the median age is
rising due to longer life expectancies and lower
fertility.
While it is well known that the populations of
most European countries and Japan are ageing, it
is less well known that population ageing is also
occurring in a number of other Asian countries. The
proportion of the East-Asian population over the
age of 65 will grow by 22 per cent between 2015 and
2020.25
China's population growth is expected to stabilise
over the next decade and decline from 2030.26
Japan's population is projected to decline by
almost 20 per cent by 2050.27 Korea's population is
stabilising and is projected to decline from around
2030.28
In contrast, the populations of India, Indonesia and
the Philippines will continue to grow over the next
three decades. 29
By 2050, 66% of the
world's population is
projected to be living in cities,
up from 54% in 201530
Megatrend 4
Pressure on natural resources and the
environment
The world has limited natural resources, yet has a
growing population with increasing demands for
energy, water and food. Governments, businesses
and communities are under pressure to find
alternative, more efficient and renewable energy
sources.
Population growth, development and urbanisation
will increasingly place pressure on air and water
quality as already experienced in many countries.
Problems with water quality and land degradation
will make it difficult for China, India, Indonesia
and other large Asian neighbours to produce the
premium food products that their middle classes
are demanding.³¹
Following the 2016 Paris Climate Change Agreement,
countries, particularly in Asia, will be stepping up
their efforts to limit carbon emissions, turning to
clean-coal technologies, renewable energy sources
and gas as a transitional fuel.
Demand for energy is forecast to
grow by as much as 50%
by 203032
Megatrend 5
Infrastructure development in emerging
and less-developed economies
Over the next five years an enormous amount
of infrastructure investment will be required in
emerging economies.
In addition to its domestic infrastructure
development, China unveiled its One Belt One
Road (OBOR) initiative in 2013. This involves re-
establishing the Silk Road through Central Asia,
West Asia, the Middle East and Europe, plus a
maritime Silk Road through the South China Sea,
the South Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean.
Much of the funding for this vast infrastructure
program will come through the newly established
Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank led by
China. Fully implemented, the OBOR could involve
investment of up to US$8,000 billion. This
presents opportunities to Queensland exporters,
particularly in the state's North.
Africa is another area that will require a great deal
of infrastructure investment, with its population
growing faster than that of any other continent.33
China will construct 2 cities
the size of London
each year for the next 20 years34
18 Queensland Trade and Investment Strategy 2017-2022View entire presentation