Debt Investor Presentation April 2021
Credit rating: BBB with stable outlook by S&P
"...Danfoss has enough financial flexibility to quickly absorb the planned $3.3 billion
acquisition of Eaton hydraulics business" - S&P March 2021
Rating update 29 March 2021
S&P Global
Ratings
Research Update:
Ratings Direct®
Danfoss A/S Outlook Revised To Stable From
Negative; 'BBB/A-2' Ratings Affirmed; €2.5 Billion
EMTN Program Rated 'BBB'
March 29, 2021
PRIMARY CREDIT ANALYST
Rating Action Overview
- Operating performance at Danfoss A/S, a leading European producer of electrical and
mechanical components, was better than we anticipated in 2020, with S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin stable at 16.4 % despite a revenue decline of 7.3% year on
year.
This, combined with higher-than-expected free operating cash flow (FOCF) resulted in funds
from operations (FFO) to debt of about 93% compared with about 75% in our previous base
case.
Although the planned $3.3 billion acquisition of Eaton hydraulics business will significantly
weighon credit metrics, wenow believe that Danfoss has enough financial flexibility to
maintain pro-forma FFD to debt of about 30% in 2021, and sustainably above this level from
2022 onward.
-We are therefore revising our outlook to stable from negative and affirming our BBB/A-2" long-
and short-term issuer credit ratingson Danfoss, and assigning our 'BBB' issue rating to the
company's new senior unsecured €2.5 billion euro medium-term note (EMTN) program.
The stable outlook reflects our view that FFO to debt will remain comfortably above 30% and
adjusted EBITDA margin will increase to about 16% in the 12-18 months after the planned
acquisition of Eaton's hydraulics business.
Marta Bevilacqua
+(300272111298
marta bavilacqua
@apglobal.com
SECONDARY CONTACT
Mikaela Hillman
Stockholm
+48 84 405917
mikasla hilman
apgobel.com
ADDITIONAL CONTACT
Corporate Admin London
@apglobe.com
Rating Action Rationale
Danfoss proved more resilient to the COVID-19 pandemic than we expected in 2020 and is likely
to maintain adjusted FFO to debt of about 30% pro forma the acquisition from Eaton. Danfoss
quickly prepared to meet unprecedented harsh market conditions. Over 2020, its adjusted EBITDA
margins were not affected by the pandemic while revenue decreased by 7.3% This resulted in a
healthy S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin of about 16.4%, against 16.2% reached in
www.spglobal.com/ratingsdirect
Rating summary
Summary of rating update 29 March 2021
"Operating performance at Danfoss A/S, a leading European producer of electrical and mechanical
components, was better than we anticipated in 2020"....
"Although the planned $3.3 billion acquisition of Eaton hydraulics business will significantly weigh on
credit metrics, we now believe that Danfoss has enough financial flexibility to maintain pro-forma FFO
to debt of about 30% in 2021, and sustainably above this level from 2022 onward"....
"Danfoss proved more resilient to the COVID-19 pandemic than we expected in 2020 and is likely to
maintain adjusted FFO to debt of about 30% pro forma the acquisition from Eaton"
Policy and history
•
Industrial Ratings Europe
•
March 29, 2021 1
Maintain a capital and financing structure over the cycle that is compatible with a BBB credit rating
Danfoss has been BBB rated by S&P since 2012
Recent rating actions
29 March 2021: BBB with stable outlook, due to performance being better than anticipated
14 September 2020: BBB off credit watch, as a result of resilient performance
25 March 2020: BBB on credit watch negative, related to COVID-19 uncertainty
23 January 2020: BBB with negative outlook, upon announcing Eaton Hydraulics acquisition
29 Danfoss Debt Investor Presentation April 2021
Confidential
ENGINEERING TOMORROW
DanfossView entire presentation