Renewable Diesel Driving Low Carbon Results
Now vs. Then - A Shift In Valuation
In the Past
New Paradigm
INDUSTRY/MACRO
Majority of the U.S. refining capacity operated by large integrated oil
companies
Range bound industry wide EV/EBITDA multiple +/- 4.5x
Peer group fragmented with smaller scale, less efficient refiners
U.S. importing crude and products to meet domestic shortage
Higher interest rates (10-yr Treasury ~5%)
INDUSTRY/MACRO
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Majority of the U.S. refining capacity operated by independent
refiners
EV/EBITDA multiple expansion and dispersion by company
Peer group of larger scale, efficient and complex refiners
Abundant supply of domestic crude oil and natural gas providing
feedstock advantage
U.S. exporting products to higher growth markets
Lower interest rates (10-yr Treasury <2%)
VALERO
VALERO
Marginal operations
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Third quartile operating performance impacted by M&A integration
Disadvantaged East Coast and Caribbean operations
Less disciplined M&A and capital project execution
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Frequent acquisitions
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Focused on volume growth
Approximately $3.5 billion annual capex
Volatile cash flow profile and lower stockholder returns
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1% to 2% dividend yield ($0.32/share annually)
Approximately $5 billion of liquidity
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>570 million shares outstanding
Volatile stock price
INVESTOR PRESENTATION | JUNE 2021
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Expanding our long-term competitive advantage with
investments in economic low-carbon projects
First quartile operating performance amid stable, upgraded portfolio
with the lowest cash operating expense
Advantaged operations and scale
Disciplined capital investment and growth strategy
Rigorous M&A targeting and screening process
25% after-tax IRR hurdle rate for projects focused on operating cost reduction,
margin enhancement and market expansion. $2.0 to $2.5 billion annual capital
investments attributable to Valero.
Distinctive free cash flow and higher stockholder returns
Annualized dividend of $3.92/share
$8.0 billion of liquidity as of March 31, 2021
Approximately 409 million shares outstanding as of April 2021
Lower volatility in earnings and free cash flow
Valero 41View entire presentation