Investor Presentaiton
ROBUST NATIONAL ECONOMIC RECOVERY BECOMES A
SOLID FOOTING AMID INCREASED GLOBAL RISKS IN 2023
National Economic Growth (YoY, %)
Source: Statistics Indonesia, MoF's Estimate
%, yoy
2020
2021
2022
2023F
6
4.9
5.0
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.3
Household Consumption
(2.6)
2.0
4.9
4.9 - 5.3
5.0
5
Nonprofit Institution Cons
(4.2)
1.6
5.6
7.8 - 8.2
3.7
5.0
4
Government Consumption
2.0
4.2
-4.5
0.8 - 1.2
3
Investment
(5.0)
3.8
3.9
4.1 - 4.7
2
I
1
Export
(8.1)
24.0
16.3
4.6-5.6
0
-1
Import
GDP
(16.7)
23.3
14.8
3.4 -4.5
(2.1)
3.7
5.3
5.0 5.3
-2
-3
-2.1
International Agencies' Forecasts of National Economic Growth
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
ATION
2023 (WEO Jan-23):
THE WORLD BANK
2023 (GEP Jan-23):
4.8
FUND
4.8
•
The pace of economic growth in 2023 will remain resilient
•
Domestic household consumption will remain stable
ADB
•
State spending is expected to stimulate and maintain economic stability
2023 (ADOU Sep-22):
5.0
OECD
2023 (EO Nov-22):
4.7
•
The rate of investment is expected to improve, while export performance will
normalize
Bloomberg
2023 (Consensus Mar-23):
4.8
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